The 2024 presidential election will be the first one since AI hit the mainstream.
WE. ARE. NOT. READY.
Here's how I think it's going to play out 🧵
For starters, I expect a ton of AI-generated content on both candidates to flood the internet.
Some will be created by US citizens, some will be created by foreign adversaries, and some will be created by the parties themselves:
Because the mainstream media is always in a rush to publish news, a lot of fake AI content is going to be accidentally amplified.
Reporters at "blue chip" media outlets will publish pieces that aren't factually correct.
Their corrections will then be too little, too late.
I also expect social media to become even more chaotic next election cycle
You thought it was bad in previous elections... What happens when people can create thousands of bot accounts that post content that feels real?
This is why @elonmusk's Twitter blue strategy is important
Both political parties are likely going to start incorporating AI tools heavily into their campaign strategies.
Expect to see political ads and email campaigns written by ChatGPT.
I also expect voice to play a big role. Imagine a "personalized" voicemail from Biden, Trump, etc.
The AI tools will also be used to conduct social sentiment analysis, as well as to improve polling.
Polling has been pretty inaccurate in recent elections, but I suspect with new AI tools, it will be easier to separate the signal from the noise.
Lastly, I expect the AI issue to become an increasingly political topic.
Eventually the parties are going to fall on opposite sides. We saw it with crypto and it's going to happen with AI.
Once this happens, I worry at least 1 candidate will promise to crack down hard on AI.
I don't like to be a fear monger, but I fear we are on a scary trajectory where AI will be becoming insanely good right as the election goes down.
For this reason, it's difficult not to imagine it playing a major role in who gets elected next election...
The biggest risk here is that AI turns into a scapegoat the way Facebook did during the 2016 election.
If that were to happen, it could severely hamper AI development in the country moving forward.
What do you think? Are we ready for AI to be part of the next election cycle?