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Putin has taken a lot on himself, becoming 100% the embodiment of everything that is going on in Russia.
Given the daily increasing number of challenges, the increasing complexity of the situation around the country and on the domestic circuit, he feels less and less confident about his future.
Similarly, the inner circle is increasingly asking uncomfortable questions: the end of the leader is only a matter of time, but after that how can one be elected, how can one ensure that one's status, money and life are maintained in other realities?
All the more so, the number of various "assholes" raising their paws at the Kremlin is growing.
For example, in 2021, the Kremlin bureaucrats were faced with an acute problem of controlling the generals, who raised their heads against the occupation of parts of Ukraine and felt themselves to be on horseback.
The FSB closely monitored the situation in the army ranks and eventually created a "special operations" trap for it to level the army pole.
Now the generals are being spat in their faces, they are being mixed with mud, because they have shown their incompetence and inferiority in managing the war. They no longer even think about governing Russia.
The once-popular Shoigu, who claimed to be the successor, looks like a misfit in uniform. Since the army special forces as a kind of troops has been almost completely nullified, the storming of the Kremlin's Taj-Bek is not expected for 8-10 years now.
Prigozhin is rushing hard to replace Shoigu. He has thrown almost everything he owned at stake, burned his brainchild Vagner PMC near Bakhmut, which has now turned into a pathetic spectacle in military terms, without producing any convincing results.
But in six months Prigozhin has grown from a "cook" under the czar to a political giant, whose rating is quite comparable to the sinking rating of Putin.
It is only in the measurements of budget sociologists that 80% of the votes for the Kremlin dweller are ready, but the picture in the margins is far less encouraging. No sudden and staged raids on Crimea, Mariupol or Kherson can wash away Putin's stigma as a coward.
Besides, as mentioned above, the long table lover is playing geopolitics to save his own skin. The more young guys he buries in the ground, the less chance he has of protesting. Hence the mobilisation will only gain momentum.
Prigozhin has cleverly seized the moment and, on the contrary, looks in the eyes of ordinary Russians like the true face of war, unlike the sterile grandfather in the Kremlin. He is not afraid of the dirt, of death, and seems to have made a deal with the devil himself.
He acts openly, but pretends to be fatherly. After all, it is thanks to his idea with the criminals at the front that tens of thousands of young lads were able to survive.
At one stage, Prigozhin was seen as a controlled figure, just one of the many faces of comprehensive Putinism, but now he has branched off, gone free.
Although militarily Wagner is going underground, politically among the patriotic camp, Wagner's position is growing exponentially. Prigozhin now wants to jump off the "SWO" theme and devote himself entirely to leading all patriotic forces.
He has the millions of families of those involved in the invasion of Ukraine behind him, and, of course, the resource of war correspondents who have sidelined official propaganda.
The conductor of the "orchestra" has an innate flair, because a few days before the beginning of the counter-offensive by the AFU, he is out of the loop. Now all responsibility for further events on the front will rest solely with Putin.
It is him that Prigozhin implicitly blames for all the failures on the fronts, including the "goodwill gestures" in Kherson or the Kharkiv region.
He has really backed Putin into a corner. A scenario is being prepared for the appointment of Prigozhin to the position of Minister of Defence in order to split the responsibility. Everything is just like in Krylov's fable: "they threw the pike into the river".
After all, under Prigozhin in this position the entire Russian army will be turned into the new Wagner. Given the vast experience of the mercenary kingpin's team in organizing coups, such a decision is super dangerous for the president of the Russian Federation.