Huge unlock in $SAND right now
A thread on:
- links to contracts addresses for you to confirm unlocks
- price actions on past SAND unlock
- game theory between the VC receiving unlocks
Like & Retweet this tweet and lets go!
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Otter wrote about SAND unlock few weeks ago
and why this unlock is so different in nature
If you haven't read that, start here
Otter admits the only thing wrong in the thread below is the date
This time though, the unlock is definitely ongoing
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twitter.com/otteroooo/status/1536287725694857216?s=20&t=YIuaDnhFsiNxl32JJb3K5g
2 days ago
Within 7 minutes of receiving the unlock, VC holding the address 0x5366 has sent the 51m SAND it has collected straight to Binance
this VC is so committed to dumping the full amount, they even sent the 100 SAND test transaction tokens over to Binance
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Watch what they do, not what VCs say
They sent it to exchanges within minutes!
There seems to be a gentleman agreement between the VCs to not dump on the same retail plebs
because within 2 minutes of receiving the unlock, 0xd272 sent its 10,000,000 SAND to OKEX
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6 hours ago
Contract B sent a further ~27m SAND out to 6 addresses
the last time these addresses received unlocks, they sent to following exchanges to dump
0x2ec9 - Binance
0xdf89 - FTX
0xd700 - Wintermute (OTC or TWAP sell)
0xac8e - Huobi
they dumping on you bro
Let's take a quick detour onto Sandbox whitepaper to see who is on the ball, dumping $SAND upon unlock within minutes
Based on the whitepaper, tokens go to:
2. price actions on past SAND unlock
this chart shows the last few unlocks of SAND against BTC
you can see in the circles, how price is deflated over a few weeks as the VCs TWAP sell their positions onto unknowing plebs
FYI: this thread was drafted when SAND was $1.4
this time is sorta different though
the last 2 unlocks were during the most bullish of bull runs
right now we are knee deep in the a horrible bear market
order books are empty, shitcoins trading is muted
honestly ask among your friends, who is buying $SAND tokens today
how about short squeeze you may ask?
a short squeeze has less chance of happening when there is a huge looming inventory of SAND tokens waiting to be sold at any pump
nobody would be foolish enough to short squeeze knowing that it could be easily shutdown
right now there's only 120m SAND in Open Interest (OI)
Open Interest is the number of open positions that has not been settled (closed or liquidated)
so 74m SAND into the markets now will be absolutely devastating
if you are thinking of yeeting your net worth into a 20x leveraged short, please don't
that means a freak 5% pump will rekt you
take it easy, don't be greedy
not financial advice
3. game theory between the VC
all the VCs are sitting on huuuge unrealized profits
According to an internal document otter has reviewed, VCs have purchased $SAND at a price of $0.004
At the current price of $1.4 per $SAND, the VCs are 350x on their investment
A f**cking 350x!
The VCs are only 350x if they can exit at $1.4
Now all the VCs are playing a game of reverse chicken
The first VC who sells gets a 350x, the next gets a 250x, the next 150x
When you hear crypto twitter (CT) talk about bera markets being PvP, this is what it means
VCs acting out in their own interests, nuking everyone else in the process
of course, if you've staked $SAND and have it locked up then may the Gods have mercy on your sorry soul
its interesting to note that the VCs have different stack sizes
so the VC with smaller stacks can easily fumble the entire bag into the markets and have muted price spiral effect
the larger stacks VC not so
to those who say that
- VC has OTC away their positions
- VC has sold short their unlocks prior
or any bullsh*t like this
this is what otter had to say
game theory gets more complex now that retail champion otter sounded the alarm for retail
the VCs now know that the slower they dump, the less unsuspecting plebs they have to buy up their dumps
VCs forced to be more PvP against each other since there is less retail to prey on
unsurprisingly so, talks about price and unlocks are banned on SANDbox main telegram chat
can't have freedom of speech interrupting dumping on plebs, can we?