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Typefully
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We're launching a Command Bar today with great commands and features.
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I think this thread hook could be improved.
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I think this thread hook could be improved.
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Ah ben dis donc !
Voilà que les cancres européens de la vaccination #Bulgarie et #Roumanie se font prendre leur place au fond de la classe par des élèves bien + studieux.
Si l'on peut se fier aux chiffres du très officiel institut @EU_Eurostat…
[1/6]
🔎
…La Bulgarie est délogée par #Chypre🥈 qui a bcp vacciné et Slovaquie et Pologne, un peu moins impliqués.
Mais la Roumanie doit céder sa place à des 🥇 que sont #Malte, Grèce et même #Autriche, le pays qui était allé le + loin dans l'obligation vaccinale générale…
[2/6]
Le modèle utilisé pour calculer ces surmortalités est-il valable ?
La notice indique une comparaison avec les moyennes 2016-2019.
Cela a sans doute conduit à une surestimation pour 2020, mais à partir de 2021, il n'est pas forcément plus faux que les tendances…
[4/6]
…2010-2019 ou 2015-2019 (régressions linéaires) habituellement utilisées.
Puisque ces tendances supposent une évolution linéaire de la mortalité, alors que l'effet moisson de 2020-2021 devrait se traduire par un plafonnement voire une diminution de celle-ci.
[5/6]
Et les statisticiens très diplômés et sans doute pas trop mal payés d'@EU_Eurostat n'ont sûrement pas retenu ce mode de calcul, sans des motivations très robustes.
[6/6]