Imagine a golfer hitting shots on the range.
They target the flag, and hit
✴️1/3rd shots on target
✴️1/3rd shots ~ 10 yards long
✴️1/3rd shots ~ 10 yards short
let's say the difference, for them, was caused by subtle ground contact changes
Now imagine this player playing the following 3 holes.
They hit shots and, out of their normal shot pattern, ONE of their possibilities comes out - but they can't control which one.
On day 1, they hit;
🟣the long outcome first
🟣perfect outcome second
🟣short outcome third
This player would come out of those holes 0.5 shots under par
(Based on the assumption of tour-level putting and a 50% up and down rate, and using a 50% make rate for the close shot)
Or, you could say they would be 1 under par after playing 6 holes like this.
Day 2, they play the same holes, same pins. However, this time they get the
🟣short outcome first
🟣long outcome second
🟣perfect outcome third
This player, with basically the same quality of shots (just done in a different order), now comes out of those holes 1.5 shots over par
Or 3 shots over par if they did this twice.
That's a 2 shot swing over just 3 holes!
This can account for some of the day to day variance we see in scores.
Players can essentially strike the ball the same (in terms of probabilities of outcomes), yet produce different wildly different scores.
What can we do to mitigate this?👇👇👇
✅think about shot patterns, not individual shots
✅Understand that we're not in full control of which outcome comes out - thus choose better targets that allow for this
✅collect stats on our own shot patterns so we undertsnad OUR game better
On of the biggest things we can do is
✅Work on strike quality so that your front-back dispersion reduces
The better you strike it, the tighter your shot pattern will be.
🔥Learn exactly how to do this with The Strike Plan - adamyounggolf.com/the-strike-plan/