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1. The Market doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes
Old narratives die, new ones come up.
Stop chasing the old ones & start looking for the new ones.
2. Retail Investors are at the bottom of the food chain
• Builders
• VCs
• Influencers
• You
It’s the wild west & people are looking to slaughter you.
Learn to play with this information asymmetry
3. No one knows what’s to come
There’s no point in relying on people to buy & sell rn.
Develop your own views & play accordingly
If not, you won’t survive.
4. There’s no playbook for crypto.
We’ve a tendency to deeply trust indicators & valuation models.
They can help if used correctly, but crypto is its own world.
5. Memes are everything.
Community bands together behind memes. We’ve seen it many times before
• Doge
• @goblintownwtf
BTC was considered a meme by normies
Don't fade the memes.
6. Regulation is inevitable
Regulation is def coming & it can be good.
We need to make sure it’s good.
8. Crypto is too big for one person.
There’s a lot going on. Trying to be everywhere is impossible
Form groups with others. Specialize.
9. Nothing is risk free.
There’s always a risk. In crypto, it’s quite big.
Most projects aren’t gonna make it. Understand where the value comes from.
Is it sustainable? Set up an evaluation process.
10. Crypto moves together.
Alts move with BTC & ETH. Overdiversifying isn’t a good idea.
There are only going to be a couple of winners in each space.
11. There are a lot of tools to help you
Tools like Nansen, Dune, Tokensniffer, Debank & Etherscan provide immense value if you know how to use them.
Learn to use them.
12. It’s also about how others react to the market.
People spend a lot of time trying to figure out what the market is saying.
But not enough time is spent figuring out how other investors will react to the market.
13. Investors are neither good nor bad.
Investors dump on people. But they also fuel growth.
There’s no point in blaming them for everything.
Instead, pay attention to unlocks & learn to react to what they’re doing.
14. Halo effect is real
Investors, influencers & OGs can be wrong too.
Don’t blindly trust them.
A lot of them are just regular people, you can get there too.
15. We’re early.
Crypto is still tiny. Most people still think we’re playing with imaginary money
The bear market cleared out half the noise. But you’re still here, you’ll have tons of opportunities.
16. The tech works
The bear market showed us that most of the underlying tech works just fine.
Improvements & optimizations will come.
Crypto works.
17. There’s more to crypto than CT
It’s easy to think that crypto is purely on crypto twitter.
But communities exist on youtube, reddit, etc.
They’re not always good or smart (neither are we tbf)
But it’s a good idea to key an eye on what others are thinking.
And that's it. I hope you found this useful
• Give this a retweet!
• Follow me @Cov_duk for daily crypto actionables & insights
• Follow my substack for detailed thoughts covduk.substack.com/