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Why Most People are Still Underestimating AI, and What’s About to Happen to Society

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AI is the most useful technology ever developed And it’s not even close AI isn’t overhyped, it’s underhyped Massively. Still. Here’s why most people are still underestimating AI, and what’s about to happen to society:
Most people are underestimating AI because they're thinking about it backwards Instead of thinking about it as a new tool, it's better to think about it as a new INTERFACE to humanity's ultimate tool: Language. Pictures & symbols w/meaning The A/V world of human consciousness
It's easy to forget language is technology Not just tech, but the basis of society Humanity's second killer app (The first was control of fire, leading to radical growth in brain size)
Symbolic language is used for: -Seeing ideas outside our heads -Sharing the substance of thought -Combining and building on the ideas of others Result: An ultimate learning tool to create better tools
When writing was first invented, it was the first time in history people could speak directly to future generations in their own words The consequences of this ability are astounding Because the capacity for change doesn’t happen within a brain, it happens *between* brains
E.O. Wilson once said: Language is the greatest evolutionary advance since the eukaryotic cell Language freed the mind from the animal to be creative, thence to enter and imagine other worlds infinite in time and space
Our ability to imagine worlds “Opened a fast lane of cultural evolution, bypassing the traffic jams of genetic evolution... ...This is accordingly the point when history declared its independence from biology.” It was the first time humans could cooperate at scale
With language, “Our minds can travel lightning-fast through space and time, and, with increasing scientific precision, visit any place on the planet, and beyond. Language is not just a creation of humanity, it *is* humanity.”
This is what people are missing about AI Now, instead of using language as an interface to share knowledge from one brain to another We can use AI as an interface to all collective human knowledge and imagination at once twitter.com/neal_katyal/status/1622433335132782597?s=20&t=GfTtJWDKBOMABaKsozhDJQ
In computing, Moravec's Paradox states: Easy problems for humans are hard for computers, and vice versa. What some two-year-olds do today is still hard for some computers. But now we're moving fast from left to right:
We can, with these new interfaces, draw on the combined consciousness of our species, and make stunning progress Because, as others have noted, progress starts with rebellion Specifically, “rebellion against authority in regard to knowledge”
What's mind-blowing about releases like ChatGPT is they solve two design problems at once: 1. A language & syntax problem made up of words and sentences 2. A meaning & structure problem made up of concepts & themes These can't be solved apart; they have to be solved together
So, where is AI going, and what will people use AI to do? Here's a peek:
Culture was created when humans began to understand language In 10,000 years with language, we've now taught machines to understand language in a profound way This is now the warp-speed lane of cultural evolution, with machines creating intelligence
People aren't adopting AI because of the hype, they're adopting it because it's useful It's useful *right now* and improving and at exponential rate We are now continuously decreasing the half-life of human adaptation
Why is AI the most useful technology ever developed? Because artists and engineers and scholars will now use this new interface to all of human language and thinking And the health of a society is measured by the output of its artists and engineers and scholars
It goes both ways, of course. Language in the hands of AI will empower our creativity and impact our emotions like never before. Making us, as Wilson says, ever-more supremely advanced, and ever-more supremely dangerous.
It's not just that you can now summon the storehouse of human knowledge and play with ideas outside your head Now you can make them appear through an interface magically, naturally & instantly Like the Retina display: people don't notice... twitter.com/levie/status/1617266717943824384?s=20&t=oEYeL0gmhEVBvBGr0Sw9pwAI
AI is useful for the same reason curious people are useful And for the same reason curious people in the science and humanities make progress A creative person:
Every other technology ever developed pales in comparison to what AI is now poised to do to our society And it's not even close Most of humanity has never used some of the most advanced AI interfaces They haven't experienced the before-and-after moment But more people will...
And more people will get better and better at using some of these interfaces to natural human language, the most powerful and useful technology ever developed Now with yet another technology sitting on top of it
If you liked this thread, share it! I believe what I wrote and think more people should recognize what's coming I'm following my curiosity about the world; follow me @jmikolay while I share what I learn
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Justin Mikolay 💻

@jmikolay

Inspiring & helping you to create & put something new into the world. Love writing, knowledge management & the creative process. Fmr speechwriter & submariner.