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Visiting Japan, Malaysia, & Australia, my "how you fared with COVID" formula is pretty simple, follow along. This graph tells a tale:
*Amount of individual masking
*Willingness to lockdown
*Public health quality
*Vaccines
*Overall health of the population
*Health system quality
The first 3 factors influence COVID spread.
Japan has been masking in public pre-COVID for years, especially if you've got the sniffles. Almost everyone there was masked, indoors and outdoors. Almost everyone with a throwaway surgical mask on. Very few N95-types.
Lockdown: Malaysia also had a near-total lockdown for 2020-2021. I saw many more N95-type masks in Malaysia as well, with everyone masking indoors, and most masking outdoors (in 95F heat!)
But Melbourne ๐ฆ๐บ takes credit for the world's longest lockdown. Relatively, Americans have no idea what a lockdown is. Melbourne's:
*Curfew 8p-5a
*1 person may go out for errands/groceries once per day
*1 hour outdoor exercise within 5km of home
MELBOURNE IS 5M PEOPLE!
Public health "quality": Okay, so someone in your country has COVID. How well can you stop it from spreading once identified? Many of the Asian countries had strict quarantines and also phone-tracking apps. In Malaysia and Japan, I was tracked on my phone in case I tested โ.
The last 3 factors determine if you get COVID, how you'll fare. Vaccines: The US was winning until July 2021, when other countries started to outpace us. We're still sitting at 67% vaccinated, compared to Australia's 84%.
You thought there was a lot of COVID in the US? Would you believe me if I told you that โ per capita โย *Australia* has had more COVID infections than we have? Honestly, I couldn't believe this when I saw it. But take a look:
Look at that blue line๐! Australia had fewer cases/capita than Japan until Omicron/2022! *That* is what I call a surge! But by then, Australia was already 77% vaccinated, and we knew much much more about how to properly manage COVID patients and had better therapies available.
And the two other big factors that matter when it comes to preventing COVID deaths are the health of the people as well as the quality of the healthcare system. Here's life expectancy in our countries. The US is notably lagging...
Despite us spending, pardon my French, a "shit-ton" on our healthcare system. In other words, we don't get much for what we pay for.
Americans also spend more years of their lives with disability or disease, especially when you look at it by money spent.
Japan and the US seem like polar opposites. Tons of masking vs very little. Good vs not good vaccination rates. High deaths and cases vs low deaths and cases. Tracking vs not tracking. And yet, Japan is functioning fairly normally (minus tourism currently)
Having not lived through a strict Melburnian lockdown, on this side of things in 2022, I can't help but feel like an Australia stan. Despite having MORE CASES/CAPITA THAN THE US, they barely have any COVID deaths. Their mortality & excess death rates are 10% of ours in the US.
But only time will tell what will happen with Australia, now that BA.5 is here. As we've seen recently, their hospitalizations are surging with everything back open and BA.5 likely evading vaccination immunity for at least some people.
twitter.com/Mike_Honey_/status/1546411074811215872
Of course there are many other important metrics than death โ LongCOVID only being one of them โ but from my travels, it's hard to look at the US and think we've done much right. And like everything, we spent a lot of money in the process. But what, again, did it pay for?