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After easing financial conditions via a series of covert actions, monetary leaders can no longer pretend to tighten. The dark side of Quantitative Tightening (QT) has been unleashed, not by the Fed itself, but by the U.S. Treasury. The Stealth Liquidity Squeeze™ is here... 1/
The most anticipated liquidity drain from markets is here, with many headlines foreseeing turbulence ahead. Yet, its effects might not deliver the impact many believe. Hidden forces have emerged, acting against a liquidity squeeze. The “Transitory Pause” is here... 1/
After an epic rise in stock prices in the first half of 2023, investors are wondering if the second half will produce the opposite outcome. A liquidity-fueled rally has driven the S&P500 up 12% so far this year. But now, the next significant "liquidity drain" is about to begin...
The Great Financial Tightening has thrown the global monetary system into disarray, prompting large interventions by financial leaders. Markets perceived their response as a pivot, but it was just a stopgap. The real hard landing now awaits us... 1/
Ever since the great financial crisis in 2008, the system has been sculpted not by sound pre-planning of monetary policy, but by a series of experiments created during a myriad of crises. The response to the latest banking panic was just a taster of the Fed's financial alchemy...
An unreported battle has been brewing deep in the most critical market globally, a struggle for power within America's sovereign debt market. Now, after recent events, this battle is approaching its most critical moment... 1/
In December last year, Concoda warned about the rising hazards in the largest, yet most obscure, money market. An estimated $2 trillion or more in dollar loans had built up in the shadows, growing to become the most significant part of the repo market...
After the most euphoric January in recent history, hopes of a new bull market have arisen. But the latest market bonanza has set the stage for increased intervention. The Great Financial Tightening™ is about to begin... 1/
After a disastrous end to 2022 for risk assets, where tax-loss selling and worsening economic data fueled a sharp market selloff, the start to 2023 couldn't be more different. Buoyant economic data, enormous liquidity injections, and bullish narratives drove an epic meltup...
The most critical shift in finance has been playing out behind the scenes: The power to price trillions of dollars in financial assets, once held by bankers, is almost in the hands of the Federal Reserve. Now, its powers are set to increase... 1/
A lengthy attempt to eradicate risk from the global financial system, by both monetary authorities and major financial actors, is approaching its climax. What began as a panic reaction to the 2008 subprime crisis has transformed the way financial entities do business...
Fears of another liquidity crisis have entered the mainstream, with many people guessing what will cause the next financial upheaval. Right now, all triggers have been suppressed, but not for long. The Great Liquidity Squeeze™ is upon us... 1/
2022 was believed to be the year when an enormous unwinding of central bank liquidity would produce another round of financial armageddon. But it never came. Instead, the response from monetary leaders over the COVID market meltdown more than prevented economic ruin...
The Federal Reserve has initiated the ultimate rug pull, but trillions in excess liquidity has stemmed any major turmoil. Yet eventually, the Fed will not only need to intervene but expand its operations globally to preserve the status quo... 1/
It became clear during the COVID market meltdown in early 2020 that the Fed's dominance over global markets was not only going to prevail but prosper. As one of the most epic financial panics in history unfolded, the world's insatiable demand for U.S. dollars exposed itself...
Markets continue to tumble as liquidity wanes, but trillions of dollars remain in the system, preventing unrest in stocks and credit markets. Instead, major turmoil is more likely to emerge in America's sovereign bond market... 1/
Bond markets are growing increasingly unstable, and many have warned of a "sovereign debt crisis" unfolding. But monetary leaders now possess numerous tools to prevent a disaster. The Great Sovereign Debt Intervention™ is upon us... 1/
Tasked with preventing sky-high inflation largely caused by supply issues beyond their control, the Federal Reserve has been forced into raising rates sharply to lower prices toward their 2% target...