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1/ My top 10 crypto & #DeFi predictions for 2023:🧵
2/
1️⃣ DeFi options will explode in popularity when volatility returns.
Here's why: Robinhood earned $363M net revenue from fees in 2021 ($52M equities, $48M crypto, and impressive $163M from options).
For DeFi Options to happen UI/UX needs to improve and become mobile-friendly.
3/ There's also a huge knowledge asymmetry in option trading due to their complexity.
This could translate into massive revenue for whoever pulls off the 'Robinhood of DeFi'.
I'm following $RBN, $DPX, $LYRA, $HEGIC, $PREMIA... but we're not there yet!
4/
2️⃣ Growth of 'Modular blockchain' narrative
Modularity is how blockchains can finally scale.
Celestia, @OxMantle, and EigenLayer's restaking will be hot, but Cosmos, Polkadot and Ethereum will benefit from the narrative too.
⚠️ Valuations for these new tokens will be high.
twitter.com/DefiIgnas/status/1602572957728980992
5/
3️⃣ $ETH will outperform $BTC#BTC narrative is tied to money printing, which is currently on pause.
Outperformance of #ETH is tied to:
• Growth of L2/L3s
• Pure yield + EigenLayer's restaking
• #DeFi & #NFT activity
• ESG friendly
But flippening will not happen yet.
6/
4️⃣ Increased adoption of Soulbound tokens.
SBTs were introduced 7 months ago by V. Buterin et al. to enable Web3 to reach the real world economy.
SBTs represent your real identity on-chain and are not transferable.
Figure out how to speculate with SBTs, and you'll succeed!
twitter.com/DefiIgnas/status/1570682524795564035
7/ Real world assets to boost #DeFi yields
E.g. Maker discussing Dai Savings Rate, so part of TradFi yield will go to $DAI holders.
More protocols will resort to TradFi/RWA for higher yields.
Looking at you @circle👀
(Picture credit to: @hexonaut)
8/
6️⃣ Cut-throat competition in the DEX space will lead to their business model diversification
Most DEXes started as Uni V2 forks on different chains.
In 2022, they added new features and expanded to other chains: Pancakeswap to Ethereum, Trader Joe to BNB Chain etc.
twitter.com/DefiIgnas/status/1605827795610787840
9/ As DEX aggregators grow, capital efficiency for the spot market becomes crucial for survival.
To succeed, DEXes will introduce new features beyond trading to diversify and stand out.
Plus, Uni V3 license expires in April, so we'll see V3 forks and maybe Uniswap V4.
10/
7️⃣ Renewed interest in the Metaverse/VR
Apple is reportedly launching 'Reality Pro', a VR headset that will reignite crypto dreams for decentralized metaverses.
Metaverse crypto projects that manage to launch on App Store/VR could see serious gains.
11/
8️⃣ Growth of DeFi Lite
DeFi has grown in complexity and is not welcoming to new users.
To attract new users, protocols will introduce a 1-click simplified versions of their main features.
Example → Instadapp Lite and Oasis Earn.
12/
9️⃣ At least one more major Web2 company will integrate NFTs
Reddit succeeded and showed how NFTs can go mainstream.
Other Web2 companies will stealthily introduce them without their users even knowing they use NFTs.
Teams like @0xPolygon are making it happen.
twitter.com/DefiIgnas/status/1583680917498830848
13/
🔟 Arrival of new generation hardware wallets
2022 was the best lesson for self-custody, but it's not easy.
We have Ledger Stax and improvements for Keystone, and other wallets coming, but I hope for seedless recovery, better integration with dApps, and vastly improved UX.
15/ Korpi on ETH Withdrawals, EIP-4844, EigenLayer, zkEVM, L3s, Account Abstraction, Modular blockchains, Omnichain, New DeFi Primitives, NFTFI and AI.
twitter.com/korpi87/status/1612126005434646531
16/ Rektdiomedes on BTC losing to ETH, Joe Biden, remote work, migration, NFT pump, inflation, chains vs protocols, stocks/oil reaching ATH, insanity and ... check it out yourself.
twitter.com/rektdiomedes/status/1612882202865373196
18/ Aylo on overall crypto market, ETH & L2s, liquid staking, GameFi, AI, storage, app-chain thesis, RWAs, improved UI/UX, account abstraction, EigenLayer & Celestia and more.
twitter.com/alpha_pls/status/1613149664882348034
19/ And check out 3 parts of @neworderDAO predictions that includes bear vs bull talk, EigenLayer, blog transactions, L3s, zkRollups, Cosmos, Celestia, stablecoins and much more:
thesis.neworder.network/